Technical Standards Forecast

Product Definition. The Technical Standards Forecast contains expected changes in technology-related standards and conventions, which are documented in the TV-1 product. The forecast for evolutionary changes in the standards should be correlated against the time periods as mentioned in the SV-8 and SV-9 products.

Product Purpose. One of the prime purposes of this product is to identify critical technology standards, their fragility, and the impact of these standards on the future development and maintainability of the architecture and its constituent elements. Product Detailed Description. TV-2 lists emerging or evolving technology standards relevant to the systems covered by the architecture. It contains predictions about the availability of emerging standards, and relates these predictions to the Systems View elements and the time periods that are listed in the SV-8 and SV-9.

The specific time periods selected (e.g., 6-month, 12-month, 18- month intervals) and the standards being tracked should be coordinated with architecture transition plans (see SV-8). That is, insertion of new techno logical capabilities and upgrading of existing systems may depend on, or be driven by, the availability of new standards and products incorporating those standards. The forecast specifies potential standards and thus impacts current architectures and influences the development of transition and objective (i.e., target) architectures. The forecast should be tailored to focus on standards areas that are related to the purpose for which a given architecture is being described and should identify potential standards that will affect the architecture. If interface standards are an integral part of the technologies important to the evolution of a given architecture, then it may be convenient to combine TV-2 with SV-9. For other projects, it may be convenient to combine all the standards information into one document, combining TV-2 with TV-1.

TV-2 delineates the standards that will potentially impact the relevant system elements (from SV-1, SV-2, SV-4, SV-6, and OV-7) and relates them to the time periods that are listed in the SV-8 and SV-9. A system’s evolution, specified in SV-8, may be tied to a future standard listed in TV-2. A timed technology forecast from SV-9 is related to a TV-2 standards forecast in the following manner: a certain technology may be dependent on a TV-2 standard (i.e., a standard listed in TV-2 may not be adopted until a certain technology becomes available). This is how a prediction on the adoption of a future standard, as applicable to systems elements from SV-1, SV-2, SV-4, SV-6, and OV-7, may be related to standards listed in TV-1 through the SV-9. A template for TV-2 is not shown in this section. The same template shown in TV-1 may be used to describe TV-2.

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